Remnants of GABRIELLE Forecast Discussion

 

REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER   6

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1100 PM AST THU SEP 05 2013

 

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE SMALL

CIRCULATION OF GABRIELLE HAS DISSIPATED AS IT INTERACTED WITH THE

LANDMASS OF HISPANIOLA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT A BROAD

CYCLONIC CIRCULATION REMAINS SITUATED BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND

HISPANIOLA…HOWEVER THE REMAINING DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED WELL

TO THE EAST…OVER AND SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN

ISLANDS.

 

GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE MOVING GENERALLY

NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND

INTERACTING WITH OR POSSIBLY MERGING WITH THE LARGE AREA OF

DISTURBED WEATHER CURRENTLY LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE GREATER

ANTILLES. BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK THE GLOBAL

MODELS INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA SOUTH OR

SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AHEAD OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH…POSSIBLY

ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE. WHILE THE DETAILS OF THE

FORMATION OF THIS LOW ARE UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME…THE REMNANTS OF

GABRIELLE WILL BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.

 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE CAN

BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE…UNDER

AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN A THREAT FROM THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS…AND USERS SHOULD REFER TO PRODUCTS

FROM THE NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN FOR MORE

INFORMATION ON THAT HAZARD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  06/0300Z 19.0N  68.5W   25 KT  30 MPH

12H  06/1200Z…DISSIPATED