September 26, 2020

Hurricane Katia poses no threat to land for the next few days but keep an eye on Invest 93L

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The unsettled weather that brought us thunderstorms and heavy rain over the last few days has finally moved away from us.

Rob Lightbown on his Crown Weather website says:

“My thinking is that 93L will meander around just off of the Texas and Louisiana coast for several days and potentially become a hurricane Sunday night or Monday. The European model is downright scary as it forecasts this thing to become a significant hurricane as it makes landfall in southeastern Louisiana next Thursday night. It should be noted that this is the second model run forecast in a row that the European model develops this into a major hurricane. The UKMET model, which has the best track record at the 6 day forecast mark, forecasts 93L to slowly track onshore into southeastern Louisiana on Monday night and Tuesday.

“Given the very weak steering currents forecast next week across the northern Gulf coast, I think 93L/future Lee has the potential to track just about anywhere along the northern Gulf coast and at this point, everyone along the northern Gulf coast should closely monitor the progress of Invest 93L.

Rob closes by saying: “I want to emphasise to all of our Crown Weather friends along the northern Gulf coast that there is the very real potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend into next week. In addition, there is an above average amount of uncertainty in the forecast track of this system as the steering currents are weak and it is unclear whether 93L will be picked up by a trough of low pressure and threaten the central or eastern Gulf coast next week, or be missed by this trough of low pressure and threaten the western Gulf coast.

Rob will be monitoring this situation very closely over the coming days and will keep us all updated.

These systems should be watched carefully.  Go to Crown Weather Services at www.crown weather.com and to the National Hurricane Centre at www.nhc.noaa.gov/.  We wish to thank Crown Weather for the permission to use their graphics and information.  Please support them.

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