November 29, 2020

29 Oct Weather in Cayman & Tropical Report 1 TS, 1 Dist. Atl.

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Oct 29 Sun 2017

Tropical Report

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located near the lower Florida Keys.

1. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form during the
next few days over the east-central Atlantic Ocean. This low
could gradually acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by
the middle of the week well to the southwest of the Azores while
the low moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

 

POORLY ORGANIZED PHILIPPE NEAR EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA

Tropical Storm Philippe Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182017
500 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

Philippe is a very poorly organized system, and it is a stretch to
call it a tropical cyclone at this time. The most trackable center
passed near Key West a couple of hours ago and has moved into the
Straits of Florida. Given that northwesterly winds are now observed
over southeastern Florida, however, it is unlikely that this is a
unique center of circulation. Therefore, the advisory location
near the southern tip of Florida is more of a mean center position.
Given that, the initial motion is a highly uncertain 070/15 kt.
Regardless of its precise location, the overall system should turn
northeastward to north-northeastward and accelerate considerably
ahead of a high amplitude 500 mb trough near the United States east
coast.

Observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated
that the maximum sustained winds were near 40 kt over the Straits
of Florida. Deep convection has been displaced well to the
northeast of the estimated center by nearly 50 kt of deep-layer
shear. The shear is forecast to increase even more, and Philippe
is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone within the next 24
hours as it becomes embedded within a cold front that is approaching
from the northwest. The above-mentioned trough is likely to induce
some baroclinic intensification of the storm today and tonight. By
Monday, however, the global models show the cyclone becoming
absorbed into a larger and stronger extratropical low near New
England.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 25.0N 81.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 29/1800Z 29.2N 77.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 30/0600Z 36.0N 72.5W 55 KT 65 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 30/1800Z…DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Oct 29 2017

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

 

 

Weather In Cayman

Synopsis

 

A decrease in cloudiness and showers is expected from this morning as Tropical storm Philippe, currently over southern Florida, continues to move north of our area. Radar images show isolated showers southwest of Grand Cayman moving slowly towards the northeast.

Sunshine just makes the day a little better, but it can also cause sunburns. Check the UV Report below to be prepared

Humidity: 89%  (UP from yesterday)

UV: 8.3  VERY HIGH  (DOWN from yesterday)

Temperature: Today’s current temperature – See Weather Forecast Top Right of Website.   Yesterday: H 82.2°F  L 73.9°F

Wind direction TODAY:  NW 10-20 mph

Wind direction TONIGHT: N 10-20 mph

Barometer: 1010:30 mb  Steady  Rain:   Last month: 9.03 in    Last 24 hrs 3.09 This month:  16.47 in

  18 Rain days in Sep  18 Rain days in Oct   0 days since rain  

2016 Season Total:  20.23 in      2017 Season Total: 46.01 in

*NOTE: record of rainfall on Grand Cayman (Owen Roberts International Airport) 2016: 27.98 inches or 28.22 inches below the 30 year average rainfall of 56.20 inches. All other readings are from SOUTH SOUND.

Average rainfall in Oct 9.2 in.  Average temperature in Oct: 77°F to 88°F

in Oct 84°F

Moon: 65% Waxing Gibbous

 

 

TIDES, SUNRISE, SUNSET, MOON RISE, MOON SET AND MOON PHASE

GRAND CAYMAN OCT 2017 – Click to enlarge

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