Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are showing
some signs of organization. The system is moving west-northwestward,
and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before
it moves inland over Central America by Tuesday. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash
flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Oct 15 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Tara, located just off the coast of
southwestern Mexico.

1. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop a couple of hundred
miles south of Guatemala and the southeastern coast of Mexico
around mid-week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form by late week while the system moves west-northwestward near the
southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Tara are issued under WMO header
WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Tara are issued under WMO
header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Stewart

Global Tropics & Benefits Outlook

Weather in Cayman

SYNOPSIS